Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.132620 1.404908 1.704905 2.056977 2.455879 2.890980 3.398580
2025-05-25 0.753382 1.106510 1.537870 2.090009 2.764603 3.549371 4.518467
2025-06-01 0.551343 0.953257 1.492912 2.236238 3.200166 4.376732 5.889632
2025-06-08 0.377872 0.782243 1.381641 2.268080 3.481884 5.026856 7.082139
2025-06-15 0.287198 0.701705 1.371408 2.420684 3.919078 5.886556 8.568780
2025-06-22 0.209709 0.614063 1.328208 2.511538 4.268505 6.640928 9.945472
2025-06-29 0.146625 0.526294 1.263049 2.553518 4.541848 7.296875 11.209592
2025-07-06 0.092412 0.428338 1.155862 2.509532 4.677368 7.760710 12.224944
2025-07-13 0.061606 0.368281 1.102722 2.541767 4.920616 8.375637 13.454348
2025-07-20 0.039375 0.315200 1.049286 2.562748 5.141135 8.959397 14.650272
2025-07-27 0.021125 0.254065 0.960857 2.506601 5.230000 9.349283 15.580680
2025-08-03 0.010137 0.203820 0.881166 2.452965 5.313583 9.727605 16.497525
2025-08-10 0.004830 0.172239 0.840254 2.472053 5.523410 10.309160 17.731240
2025-08-17 0.001393 0.134381 0.767186 2.414850 5.597481 10.685529 18.678607
2025-08-24 0.000586 0.123822 0.773520 2.525587 5.968904 11.529133 20.322396
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.102590 0.735727 2.533881 6.156642 12.090202 21.562049
2025-09-07 0.000013 0.098906 0.759798 2.684159 6.606735 13.073812 23.441916
2025-09-14 NaN 0.089516 0.758320 2.774056 6.948637 13.892505 25.089442
2025-09-21 NaN 0.076878 0.737596 2.814998 7.199952 14.570803 26.537225
2025-09-28 NaN 0.059258 0.683406 2.765913 7.277197 14.968196 27.567743
2025-10-05 NaN 0.049976 0.663265 2.799285 7.511575 15.624096 28.996847
2025-10-12 NaN 0.041364 0.640178 2.821134 7.722510 16.243735 30.377331
2025-10-19 NaN 0.030183 0.589652 2.760864 7.766636 16.586223 31.337204